Top Down Doesn't Work
The future is not organized; it just emerges
I saw a Twitter thread yesterday by a guy going after WEF and the Great Reset and the globalist agenda. There’s a meme developing about the Great Reset that “you will own nothing and happy.” The Great Reset is WEF’s plan for post-COVID recovery.
Over at Conservative Treehouse, Sundance thinks that the globalists are “trying to collapse the economy to meet the reduction in energy production.” And this is necessary in order to meet their climate change agenda.
I went over all this back in July with respect to government and epidemics in “Top-Down Government is Too Hard.”
All the worry about the globalist cabal is just a rerun of the old, old meme that there is a cunning secret cabal of Jews or speculators or insiders that is causing all the chaos. Going back to the notion of Mircea Eliade that when something bad happens it must be due to someone’s malevolence.
I think the reason for things going wrong is the ruling class’s stupidity. Ruling classes tend to form the idea that they are like gods, directing traffic in the world.
But really, ruling classes are really only good for a quick little war on the enemy. But better get it over before Christmas or you’ll screw up the economy so much that people will start starving. Top down, monarchical direction is only good for a simple tasks like fighting a war. And even then, as the Germans decided in their review of World War I, you need to push responsibility down as far as possible. According to General Hans von Seeckt the army needed “of each individual member of the army a soldier who, in character, capability, and knowledge, is self-reliant, self-confident, dedicated, and joyful in taking responsibility (verantwortungsfreudig) as a man and as a military leader.”
The point Seeckt was making was that even in a single-objective organization like an army, the leaders couldn’t anticipate and think of everything. Thus the maxim of Clausewitz that no war plan outlasts the first encounter with the enemy. Generals have to empower the junior officers and NCOs to make descisions.
And the notion was further developed by Friedrich von Hayek to argue that administrative government cannot work because a few thousand bureaucrats cannot know a fraction of what millions of producers and consumers know.
To me, the whole climate change movement is bound to fail, with or without the WEF. Actually, it is just like socialism in the 19th centuty. Intellectuals were looking at the chaotic development of industrial capitalism, the dirt, the squalor, the suffering, and they just knew that the whole thing needed to be supervised by educated intelligent people with a passion for justice.
But when they tried their socialist communes in the 19th century they didn’t work. When they tried socialist nations in the 20th Century millions died.
Now they want to do the same thing with climate because, OMG, warming is so scary. Only we humans are famous, not for anticipating problems but for adapting to the universe when the universe changes.
But can we teach our leaders to be ordinary human adapters instead of glorious divine gods?
Our big problem in the world today is to instruct our rulers and intellectuals in a new mindset. It would be something like:
No world wars
No meddling in other countries
No grand plans to save the world
No demonizing the “other” with pejoratives
No handouts to political supporters
No pay to play
Actually, we see that even in weather-related crises the government isn’t all that useful. They say it takes threee days for government to mobilize for a natural disaster. Meanwhile the WalMarts are already handing out food and supplies, because they have their own emergency preparedness and they are right on the scene, and volunteers like the Cajun Navy mobilize their bass fishing boats to rescue people marooned by floods.
Of course, if I had my druthers we wouldn’t have government pensions, government healthcare or government education. But if we privatized all those functions what would we do with the monies we saved? Years ago Milton Friedman — I think — wrote that government spending is always as high as the traffic will bear and also that government revenue is as high as possible. I just feel that if we cut programs here that government (meaning we) will just increase it on something else.
If you are really up to the minute with science you know that scientists now reckon that they can’t really explain how the universe works but only describe how the universe works. All we know is that, somehow, some way, simple things in the universe somehow organize themselves into something more complicated. And then something new emerges into the universe. How’d they do that?