Don't Rock the Boat, Say Experts
but what do women think
A lot of mainstream Republicans are saying: don’t take the bait and nominate Donald Trump for president in 2024. Scott Morefield writes that if we nominate Trump the Dems will win the presidency, take the House and the Senate, and reset the rules so Republicans never win again.
Then moderate Democrat Doug Schoen says that the House actions to curb transgenderism and abortion in the military are “extreme moral crusades.” He sneers at Ron DeSantis attacking Donald Trump in a campaign commercial:
The spot touts DeSantis’s record opposing LGBTQ rights as governor and attacks frontrunner Donald Trump for allegedly supporting gay rights in the past.
Are they right? Honestly, I don’t know.
What they are saying, I believe, is don’t rock the boat, or we’ll all go to the bottom. And maybe they are right.
But then, I’d say that Trump won — against the First Woman President — precisely by rocking the boat, and pushing a populist nationalist agenda that all credentialed people in the educated class agree is nonsense.
And I’d say that the Republicans in the House are trying to highlight extreme policy decisions taken by the Bidenoids on the transgender front that endanger women.
Now, I believe this is all about the women’s vote. Women, they say, change their vote more than men and they tend to focus on close-to-home issues, like schools and safety and health care.
And I agree; women expect to be protected, and when they feel “unsafe” or unprotected then they go looking for a new protector.
I’d say that, if the economy is in a mess in 2024, women will be looking for a strong protector to fix things. So they might not regard Trump in quite the same light as when the economy was expanding and Joe Biden was Uncle Joe.
And when it comes to the extreme far right agenda on the LGBT front, I’d say that it depends if we are talking about the nice gay couple next door, or Drag Shows at school or pedophilia or gay sex manuals in the school library or guys in the women’s bathroom.
The COVID crisis taught me that women will go along with the narrative that says it will protect them. Much more than men.
So, the question in 2024 is not Don’t Rock the Boat. It is whether women feel that an angry old man (or Gavin with a slick hairdo) will protect them, or whether things are bad enough that women decide that no Democrat will protect them and their children from danger.
And I don’t know the answer to that.